The following table shows the actual demand observed over the last 11 years: Yea
ID: 3204917 • Letter: T
Question
The following table shows the actual demand observed over the last 11 years:
Year 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Demand 8 10 4 7 12 8 13 12 9 9 6
This exercise contains only parts b, and c
b) Using the 3-year moving average, provide the forecast from periods 4 through 12 (round your responses to one decimal place).
c) Using the 3-year weighted moving average with weights 0.20, 0.30, and 0.50, using 0.50for the most recent period, provide the forecast from periods 4 through 12 (round your responses to two decimal places).
Explanation / Answer
b)
3 year moving average for year 4 = ( 8 + 10 + 4) /3 = 7.3
3 year moving average for year 5 = (10 + 4 + 7) /3 = 7
Similarly, calculated for all years
c)
Weighted moving average for year 4 = ( .2 * 8 + .3 * `10 + .5 * 4) = 6.6
Weighted moving average for year 5 = ( .2 * 10 + .3 * 4 + .5 * 7) = 6.7
Similarly, calculated for all years.
Year Demand 3 Yr moving average 1 8 2 10 3 4 4 7 7.3 5 12 7 6 8 7.7 7 13 9 8 12 11 9 9 11 10 9 11.3 11 6 10 12 8Related Questions
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