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The Hughes Supply Company uses an inventory management method to determine the m

ID: 3173828 • Letter: T

Question

The Hughes Supply Company uses an inventory management method to determine the monthly demands for various products. The demand values for the 12 months of 2015 for one electrical fixture are shown below. The forecasted yield for January 2011 using a simple exponential smoothing model with a smoothing constant value of .2 and assuming that the forecast for December 2010 was 307.649 is

Month

Demand

January

February

March

April

May

June

July

August

September

October

November

December

205

251

304

284

352

300

241

284

312

289

385

256

Select one:

a. 297.32

b. 266.55

c. 300.12

d. 289.11

e. 234.66

Month

Demand

January

February

March

April

May

June

July

August

September

October

November

December

205

251

304

284

352

300

241

284

312

289

385

256

Explanation / Answer

as exponential smoothing forecast =actual of last month *alpha+(1-alpha)*forecast of last month

hence forecast of January =0.2*256+0.8*307.649=297.32

option A

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