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Apex Mutual Fund invests primarily in technology stocks. The price of the fund s

ID: 3173826 • Letter: A

Question

Apex Mutual Fund invests primarily in technology stocks. The price of the fund share at the end of each month for the last 6 months of 2015 was forecasted and the forecast errors (actual-forecast) are given below. The value for the forecast accuracy measure of MAPE is  

Month

Actual Price (Yt)

Forecast Error (et)

July

18.50

-1.47

August

17.99

1.12

September

18.10

-.85

October

17.02

1.47

November

18.00

-1.07

December

18.88

.96

Select one:

a. 6.42

b. 1.39

c. 3.44

d. 1.16

e. None of the above

Month

Actual Price (Yt)

Forecast Error (et)

July

18.50

-1.47

August

17.99

1.12

September

18.10

-.85

October

17.02

1.47

November

18.00

-1.07

December

18.88

.96

Explanation / Answer

from above MAPE =(0.3853/6)*100=6.42

hence option A

Month Actual Price (Yt) Forecast Error (et) |et|/Yt July 18.5 -1.47 0.0795 August 17.99 1.12 0.0623 September 18.1 -0.85 0.0470 October 17.02 1.47 0.0864 November 18 -1.07 0.0594 December 18.88 0.96 0.0508 Total 0.3853
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