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Arsenic is a compound naturally occurring in very low concentrations. Arsenic bl

ID: 3155359 • Letter: A

Question

Arsenic is a compound naturally occurring in very low concentrations. Arsenic blood concentrations in healthy individuals are Normally distributed with mean = 3.2 micrograms per deciliter (g/dl) and standard deviation = 1.5 g/dl. Some areas are known to have naturally elevated concentrations of arsenic in the ground and water supplies. We take two SRSs of 25 adults residing in two different high-arsenic areas. The data from the first sample give x = 3.35 and that the data from the second sample give x = 3.75 g/dl.

1) What is the P-value for the 1st study?

2. True or False: True False Enter the number of the term that corresponds to each choice:

This outcome is statistically significant at the = 0.05 level.

This outcome is statistically significant at the = 0.01 level.

3.What is the p value for the second experiment True or False:

4. True False Enter the number of the term that corresponds to each choice:

.This outcome is statistically significant at the = 0.05 level.

This outcome is statistically significant at the = 0.01 level.

5.Explain briefly why these P-values tell us that one outcome is strong evidence against the null hypothesis and that the other outcome is not.

A)x = 3.35 is statistically significant, giving little reason to doubt H0, whereas x = 3.75 is not statistically significant, suggesting that we should doubt that H0 is true.

B)The P-value of x = 3.75 is rare enough that we would reject H0 at = 5%, whereas the P-value of x = 3.35 is statistically insignificant at 5% and 1%, providing no evidence that we should doubt that H0 is true.

C)Both outcomes are statistically insignificant at = 1%, however the P-value for x = 3.75 is larger suggesting that we should doubt that H0 is true.

D)x = 3.35 would rarely occur when H0 is true, suggesting that we should doubt that H0 is true, whereas x = 3.75 gives little reason to doubt H0.

Explanation / Answer

1.

Formulating the null and alternative hypotheses,              
              
Ho:   u   <=   3.2  
Ha:    u   >   3.2  
              
As we can see, this is a    right   tailed test.      
              
              
Getting the test statistic, as              
              
X = sample mean =    3.35          
uo = hypothesized mean =    3.2          
n = sample size =    25          
s = standard deviation =    1.5          
              
Thus, z = (X - uo) * sqrt(n) / s =    0.5          
              
Also, the p value is              
              
p =    0.308537539   [ANSWER, P VALUE]

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2.

As P > 0.05 and P > 0.01, it is not significant in either level, so

This outcome is statistically significant at the = 0.05 level. [FALSE]
This outcome is statistically significant at the = 0.01 level.   [FALSE]  
          

*****************************

3.

Formulating the null and alternative hypotheses,              
              
Ho:   u   <=   3.2  
Ha:    u   >   3.2  
              
As we can see, this is a    right   tailed test.      
              
              
Getting the test statistic, as              
              
X = sample mean =    3.75          
uo = hypothesized mean =    3.2          
n = sample size =    25          
s = standard deviation =    1.5          
              
Thus, z = (X - uo) * sqrt(n) / s =    1.833333333          
              
Also, the p value is              
              
p =    0.033376508   [ANSWER, P VALUE]      
  
***************************

4.

P < 0.05, but P > 0.01. Hence,

.This outcome is statistically significant at the = 0.05 level. [TRUE]
This outcome is statistically significant at the = 0.01 level. [FALSE]

****************************

5.

OPTION B: B)The P-value of x = 3.75 is rare enough that we would reject H0 at = 5%, whereas the P-value of x = 3.35 is statistically insignificant at 5% and 1%, providing no evidence that we should doubt that H0 is true.

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