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Thank you An airliner wants to know the probability of on time flights for its f

ID: 3151733 • Letter: T

Question

Thank you An airliner wants to know the probability of on time flights for its flights 215 from Orlando to LA. It selects 20 flights randomly. If 92% of the flights are on time, a) Find the probability that exactly 6 flights are on time. b) Find the probability that at least 3 flights are on times. 5) If 80% of smokers started smoking before turning 18 years old, and 12 smokers 18 or older are randomly selected: a) Find the probability that exactly 7 of them started smoking before 18 years of age b) Find the probability that at least 7 of them started smoking before 18 years of age

Explanation / Answer

4.

a)

Note that the probability of x successes out of n trials is          
          
P(n, x) = nCx p^x (1 - p)^(n - x)          
          
where          
          
n = number of trials =    20      
p = the probability of a success =    0.92      
x = the number of successes =    6      
          
Thus, the probability is          
          
P (    6   ) =    1.03364*10^-11 [ANSWER]

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b)

Note that P(at least x) = 1 - P(at most x - 1).          
          
Using a cumulative binomial distribution table or technology, matching          
          
n = number of trials =    20      
p = the probability of a success =    0.92      
x = our critical value of successes =    3      
          
Then the cumulative probability of P(at most x - 1) from a table/technology is          
          
P(at most   2   ) =    2.92364E-18
          
Thus, the probability of at least   3   successes is  
          
P(at least   3   ) =    1 [ANSWER]

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[I also find it weird that the answers here are so close to 0 and 1. It doesn't make the problem invalid, just unusual. These are the exact answers. Thanks!]

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