In the race for mayor of Columbus, Ohio, in 1999, one poll found that 61.1% of t
ID: 3150096 • Letter: I
Question
In the race for mayor of Columbus, Ohio, in 1999, one poll found that 61.1% of those surveyed would vote for the Democratic candidate. The poll had a 4.1% margin of error with 95% confidence. We may correctly conclude:
A) that if the poll were repeated many times and a 95% confidence interval computed for each, approximately 95% of these would show the Democratic candidate to have the majority of the vote.
B) if the poll were repeated many times and a 95% confidence interval computed for each, approximately 95% of these would include the true percentage of the population that would vote for the Democratic candidate.
C) there is a 95% probability that the Democratic candidate will receive the majority of the vote because the interval does not include 50%.
Explanation / Answer
if the poll were repeated many times and a 95% confidence interval computed for each, approximately 95% of these would include the true percentage of the population that would vote for the Democratic candidate.
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