Two wine tasters rate each wine they taste on a scale of 1 to 5. From data on th
ID: 3124737 • Letter: T
Question
Two wine tasters rate each wine they taste on a scale of 1 to 5. From data on their ratings of a large number of wines, we obtain the following probabilities for both tasters' ratings of a randomly chosen wine.
(a) Why is this a legitimate assignment of probabilities to outcomes?
all probabilities are greater than 0 and they sum to 1all probabilities are greater than or equal to 0 they sum to 1all probabilities are greater than or equal to 0 and they sum to 1
(b) What is the probability that the tasters agree when rating a wine?
(c) What is the probability that Taster 1 rates a wine higher than 3?
What is the probability that Taster 2 rates a wine higher than 3?
Explanation / Answer
A) IT IS LEGITIMATE ASSIGNMENT OF PROBABILITIES AS ALL THE PROBABILITIES ARE GREATER THAN OR EQUAL TO 0 AND SUM TO 1.
B) PROBABILITY THAT TASTERS AGREE = WHEN THEY BOTH RATE THE SAME.
WE HAVE TOTAL 25 CASES
= 1/25 =0.04 AS ONLY AT ONE STANCE THEY RATED SAME AND THAT TO (1,1)
C)PROBABILITY THAT TASTER 1 GIVES HIGHER THEN 3 = ADDING THE PROBABILITIES OF GETTING RATING 4 AND 5 BY TASTER 1 =
0.05
ADDING ALL
WE WILL GET = 0.32
D) PROBABILITIES OF TASTER 2 RATING HIGHER THAN 3 = GETTING THE PROBABILITY HIGHER THEN 3 BY TASTER 2
=
= ADDING ALL WE WILL GET = 0.38
0.00 0.02 0.05 0.20 0.02 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.020.05
ADDING ALL
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