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Assume all rates are annualized with semi-annual compounding. At time 0.5, the p

ID: 3122169 • Letter: A

Question

Assume all rates are annualized with semi-annual compounding. At time 0.5, the price of $1 par of a zero maturing at time 1 will be either $0.97 or $0.99. Consider two other assets. Asset A pays off $1 at time 0.5 if the price of the zero maturing at time 1 is $0.97 and pays off 0, otherwise. Asset B pays off $1 at time 0.5 if the price of the zero maturing at time 1 is $0.99 and pays off 0, otherwise. The price today of Asset A is $0.48 and the price of Asset B is $0.49. This information is summarized below.

a) What is the price today of the zero maturing at time 1 in the absence of arbitrage?

b) What is the price today of the zero maturing at time 0.5 in the absence of arbitrage?

c) What are the risk-neutral probabilities of the two possible time 0.5 values of the zero maturing at time 1?

At time 0.5, the price of $1 par of a zero maturing at time 1 will be either $0.97 or $0.99. Consider two other assets. Asset A pays off $1 at time 0.5 if the price of the zero maturing at time 1 is $0.97 and pays off 0, otherwise. Asset B pays off $1 at time 0.5 if the price of the zero maturing at time 1 is $0.99 and pays off 0, otherwise. The price today of Asset A is $0.48 and the price of Asset B is $0.49. This information is summarized below. Zero maturing at time 1 Asset A Asset B a) What is the price today of the zero maturing at time 1 in the absence of arbitrage? b) What is the price today of the zero maturing at time 0.5 in the absence of arbitrage? c) What are the risk-neutral probabilities of the two possible time 0.5 values of the zero maturing at time 1?

Explanation / Answer

Solution :

a) What is the price today of the zero maturing at time 1 in the absence of arbitrage?

= 0.49 * 0.97 + 0.49 * 0.99

= 0.4753 + 0.4851

= 0.9604

b) What is the price today of the zero maturing at time 0.5 in the absence of arbitrage ?

= 0.49 * 1 + 0.49 * 1

= 0.49 + 0.49

= 0.98

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