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4. Consider the following data set for an office structure built by Anderson Con

ID: 3055678 • Letter: 4

Question

4. Consider the following data set for an office structure built by Anderson Construction Co. The completed building is nine stories. However, construction was interrupted by a fire after 5.3357 floors were completed. At the time of the fire, Anderson had used 54,067 hours of labor to construct the first 5.3357 stories of the building. It then took Anderson an additional 40,750 labor hours to complete this nine- story building. In this problem, FLRCOM is the number of floors completed, and HOURS is cumulative labor hours to complete the number of floors given by FLRCOM. Enter the data for FLRCOM and HOURS in Minitab and use one command to create a variable which is the square of RCOM. Call this new variable FLRCOMSO. Print HOURS, FLRCOM, and FLRCOMsO Test whether there is a nonlinear relationship between HOURS and floors completed in the equation: HOURS = a + b(FLRCOM) + c(FLRCOMSO). Graph the foregoing equation. Where does it reach a maximum? Assume that the fire caused construction to slow down and caused a reduction in efficiency in completing the building. Estimate the number of labor hours needed to

Explanation / Answer

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Data Display

Row HOURS FLRCOM FLRCOMSQ

1    800 0.0431    0.0019

2   1575 0.0864    0.0075

3   2708 0.1564    0.0245

4   4110 0.2498    0.0624

5   5721 0.3676    0.1351

6   7955 0.5319    0.2829

7   8012 0.5362    0.2875

8 10765 0.7508    0.5637

9 13757 1.0098    1.0197

10 17257 1.3273    1.7617

11 21121 1.6684    2.7836

12 22435 1.8007    3.2425

13 26194 2.1873    4.7843

14 29971 2.5881    6.6983

15 30266 2.6262    6.8969

16 34296 3.0633    9.3838

17 37027 3.3722   11.3717

18 41556 3.8899   15.1313

19 46015 4.4022   19.3794

20 50516 4.9333   24.3374

21 54067 5.3357   28.4697

Polynomial Regression Analysis: HOURS versus FLRCOM

The regression equation is

HOURS = 1075 + 12580 FLRCOM - 521.8 FLRCOM**2

S = 471.412   R-Sq = 99.9%   R-Sq(adj) = 99.9%

We got 99.9% R-sq. which is a good fit

Fitted Line: HOURS versus FLRCOM

The fitted line reaches the maximum when FLRCOM=9. That is

HOURS = 1074.7 + 12579.8 FLRCOM - 521.8 FLRCOMSQ=1074.7 + 12579.8 *9 - 522 *8=72026

Regression Analysis: HOURS versus FLRCOM, FLRCOMSQ

The regression equation is

HOURS = 1075 + 12580 FLRCOM - 522 FLRCOMSQ

Predictor     Coef SE Coef       T      P

Constant    1074.7    205.5    5.23 0.000

FLRCOM     12579.8    219.5   57.32 0.000

FLRCOMSQ   -521.82    43.11 -12.11 0.000

S = 471.412   R-Sq = 99.9%   R-Sq(adj) = 99.9%

Analysis of Variance

Source          DF          SS          MS         F     P

Regression       2 5756673868 2878336934 12952.10 0.000

Residual Error 18     4000129      222229

Total           20 5760673997

Predicted Values for New Observations

New

Obs    Fit SE Fit      50% CI          50% PI

1 72026    1786 (70796, 73255) (70754, 73297)

Estimated extra hours due to fire is

54067+40750-72026=22791

50% Confidence interval is (70796, 73255) . This means the new fit HOUR for FLOORCOM=9 will fall inside the interval 50% times.

50% Prediction interval is (70754, 73297). This means the HOURS required for FLOORCOM=9 will fall inside the interval 50% times. Note that the prediction interval is wider than CI due to the uncertainity in the new future FLOORCOM.

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