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2. A tire manufacturer believes that the tread life of ts snow tires can be desc

ID: 3041582 • Letter: 2

Question

2. A tire manufacturer believes that the tread life of ts snow tires can be described by a Normal model with a mean tread life of 32,000 miles give-or-take 2,500 miles tctionofcaewen 30,00amd 35,00 miles? b. What is the IQR for the tread lives? In a planning marketing strategy, a local tire dealer wants to offer a refund to any customer whose tires fail to last a certain number of miles. However the tire dealer doesn't want to take too big a risk. If the dealer is willing to give refunds to no more than 1 in 25 customers, for what mileage ought he then guarantee these tires to last? c.

Explanation / Answer

Mean = 32000 miles

Standard normal = 2500miles

P(X < A) = P (Z < (A - mean) /standard deviation)

A) P(30000 < X < 35000) = P(X < 35000) - P(X < 30000)

= P(Z < (35000-32000)/2500) - P(Z < (30000-32000)/2500)

= P(Z < 1.2) - P(Z < -0.8)

= 0.8849 - 0.2119

= 0.6730

b) IQR = Q3 - Q1

P(X < Q3) = 0.75

P(Z < (Q3 - 32000)/2500) = 0.75

(Q3 - 32000)/2500 = 0.67

Q3 = 33675

Similarly

(Q1 - 32000)/2500 = -0.67

Q1 = 30325

IQR = 33675 - 30325

= 3350

c) Let A be the mileage for which he can guarantee

P(X < A) = 1/25 = 0.04

P(Z < (A - 32000)/2500) = 0.04

(A - 32000)/2500) = -1.75

A = 27625 miles

He should guarantee that the tires will last 27625 miles