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The answers are a) .3403 b) .1224 and c) .4737. Please explain how to solve the

ID: 2947703 • Letter: T

Question

The answers are a) .3403 b) .1224 and c) .4737. Please explain how to solve the problem step by step.

Box A has 3 green marbles and 1 red marble, box B has 4 green marbles and 2 red marbles, and box C has 5 green marbles and 3 red marbles. Peter rolls a die first. If the die comes up 1, then he will randomly choose a marble from box A; if the die comes up 2 or 3, he will randomly choose a marble from box B; if the die comes up 4, 5 or 6, he will randomly choose a marble from box C (a) What is the probability that Peter gets a red marble? (b) If Peter gets a red marble, what is the probability that the marble is chosen from box A? (c) If Peter gets a green marble, what is the probability that the marble is chosen from box C?

Explanation / Answer

The number of differently coloured marbles in the 3 boxes and the probability of selecting a box can be given here as:

a) Probability that a red marble is selected is computed here as:

= (1/6)*(1/4) + (2/6)*(2/6) + (3/6)*(3/8)

= (1/24) + (1/9) + (3/16)

= 0.3403

Therefore 0.3403 is the required probability here.

b) Given that a red marble is drawn, probability that it is from box A is computed as:

= (1/6)*(1/4) / P( red )

= (1/24) / 0.3403

= 0.1224

Therefore 0.1224 is the required probability here.

c) Again we first compute here:

P( green ) = (1/6)*(3/4) + (2/6)*(4/6) + (5/8)*(3/6) = 0.6597

Now given that a green is taken out, probability that it is taken out from C is computed as:

= (5/8)*(3/6) / 0.6597

= 0.4737

Therefore 0.4737 is the required probability here.

Box A B C Green Marbles 3 4 5 Red Marbels 1 2 3 Probability of that box 1/6 2/6 3/6
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