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1. Based on the data investigated in an article within the field of surgical pro

ID: 2935486 • Letter: 1

Question

1. Based on the data investigated in an article within the field of surgical procedures, anterior cruciate ligament surgery at high-volume hospitals (with more than 300 surgeries per year) is normally distributed with a mean of 129 minutes and a standard deviation of 14 minutes.

a. What is the probability that such surgery at a high-volume hospital requires a time more than two standard deviations above the mean? (7 pts)

b. What is the probability that such surgery at a high-volume hospital is completed in less than 100 minutes? (7 pts)

c. The probability of a completed surgery at a high-volume hospital is equal to 95% at what time? (6 pts)

d. If same surgery requires 199 minutes in a different hospital, what do you conclude about the volume of such surgeries at that hospital? Explain.(10 pts)

Explanation / Answer

Mean = 129 minutes

Standard deviation = 14 minutes

A) p(time is more than 2 standard deviations above mean)

= p(Z > 2)

= 1 - P(Z < 2)

= 1 - 0.9772

= 0.0228

B) P(X < 100)

= P(Z < (100 - 129)/14)

= P(Z < -2.07)

= 0.0192

C) P(X < A) = 0.95

P(Z < (A - 129)/14) = 0.95

(A - 129)/14 = 1.645

A = 152.03 minutes

D) P(X > 199) = 1 - P(Z < (199 - 129)14)

= 1 - P(Z < 5)

= 0

The surgery takes unusually high time at this hospital.