27. You are a farmer about to harvest your crop. To describe the uncertainty in
ID: 2933536 • Letter: 2
Question
27. You are a farmer about to harvest your crop. To describe the uncertainty in the size of the harvest, you feel that it may be described as a normal distribution with a mean value of 80,000 bushels and a standard deviation of 2,500 bushels. Find the probability that your harvest will exceed 84,000 bushels. 28. Assume that electronic microchip operating speeds are normally distributed with a mean of 2.5 GHz and a standard deviation of 0.4 GHz. What percentage of your production would you expect to be "superchips" with operating speeds of 3 GHz or more? 29. Although you do not know the exact total amount of pay- ments you will receive next month, based on past expe- rience you believe it will be approximately $2,500 more or less than $13,000, and will follow a normal distri- bution. Find the probability that you will receive between $10,000 and $15,000 next month. 30. A new project will be declared "successful" if you achieve a market share of 10% or more in the next 2 years. Your marketing department has considered all possibilities and decided that it expects the product to attain a market share of 12% in this time. However, this number is not certain. The standard deviation is forecast to be 3%, indi- cating the uncertainty in the 1 290 forecast as 3 percentage points. You may assume a normal distribution. a* Find the probability that the new project successfulExplanation / Answer
Mean = 80000
Stdev = 2500
P(X>84000)
= P(Z> (84000-80000)/2500)
= P(Z>1.6)
= 1-.9452
= 0.0548
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