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ID: 2926631 • Letter: S

Question


show some work in support of your answers to receive full credit. Do not simply report your final answer. 1. A civ il engineer is analyzing the compressive strength of concrete. Compressive strength is approximately Normally distributed with variance 2-1000 psi. A random sample of n = 12 specimens has a mean compressive strength of x-3222.5 psi. Let be the true mean compressive strength of all specimens from this type of concrete. (a) Test Ho: 3200 against Ha : > 3200 at 0.05. Give the rejection region. (b) If the true value of is 3230 psi, what is the power of the test? Use = 0.05. (c) Compute a 2-sided 95% CI for the mean compressive strength. (d) How large a sample does the engineer neef so that a 2-sided 95% CI for will have a margin of error E of at least 15 psi?

Explanation / Answer

PART A.

Given that,

population mean(u)=3200

standard deviation, = sqrt(1000) = 31.6228

sample mean, x =3222.5

number (n)=12

null, Ho: <3200

alternate, H1: >3200

level of significance, = 0.05

from standard normal table,right tailed z /2 =1.645

since our test is right-tailed

reject Ho, if zo > 1.645

we use test statistic (z) = x-u/(s.d/sqrt(n))

zo = 3222.5-3200/(31.6228/sqrt(12)

zo = 2.46475

| zo | = 2.46475

critical value

the value of |z | at los 5% is 1.645

we got |zo| =2.46475 & | z | = 1.645

make decision

hence value of | zo | > | z | and here we reject Ho

p-value : right tail - ha : ( p > 2.46475 ) = 0.00686

hence value of p0.05 > 0.00686, here we reject Ho

ANSWERS

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null, Ho: =3200

alternate, H1: >3200

test statistic: 2.46475

critical value: 1.645

decision: reject Ho

p-value: 0.00686

Given that,

Standard deviation, =31.6228

Sample Mean, X =3222.5

Null, H0: =3200

Alternate, H1: !=3200

Level of significance, = 0.05

From Standard normal table, Z /2 =1.96

Since our test is two-tailed

Reject Ho, if Zo < -1.96 OR if Zo > 1.96

Reject Ho if (x-3200)/31.6228/(n) < -1.96 OR if (x-3200)/31.6228/(n) > 1.96

Reject Ho if x < 3200-61.980688/(n) OR if x > 3200-61.980688/(n)

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Suppose the size of the sample is n = 12 then the critical region

becomes,

Reject Ho if x < 3200-61.980688/(12) OR if x > 3200+61.980688/(12)

Reject Ho if x < 3182.10771655 OR if x > 3217.89228345

Implies, don't reject Ho if 3182.10771655 x 3217.89228345

Suppose the true mean is 3230

Probability of Type II error,

P(Type II error) = P(Don't Reject Ho | H1 is true )

= P(3182.10771655 x 3217.89228345 | 1 = 3230)

= P(3182.10771655-3230/31.6228/(12) x - / /n 3217.89228345-3230/31.6228/(12)

= P(-5.24633291 Z -1.32633291 )

= P( Z -1.32633291) - P( Z -5.24633291)

= 0.0924 - 0 [ Using Z Table ]

= 0.0924

For n =12 the probability of Type II error is 0.0924

POWER OF TEST = 1 - BETA = 1 - 0.0924 = 0.9076

PART C.

given that,

standard deviation, =31.6228

sample mean, x =3222.5

population size (n)=12

level of significance, = 0.05

from standard normal table, two tailed z /2 =1.96

since our test is two-tailed

value of z table is 1.96

we use CI = x ± Z a/2 * (sd/ Sqrt(n))

where,

x = mean

sd = standard deviation

a = 1 - (confidence level/100)

Za/2 = Z-table value

CI = confidence interval

confidence interval = [ 3222.5 ± Z a/2 ( 31.6228/ Sqrt ( 12) ) ]

= [ 3222.5 - 1.96 * (9.129) , 3222.5 + 1.96 * (9.129) ]

= [ 3204.608,3240.392 ]

PART D.

Compute Sample Size

n = (Z a/2 * S.D / ME ) ^2

Z/2 at 0.05% LOS is = 1.96 ( From Standard Normal Table )

Standard Deviation ( S.D) = 31.6228

ME =15

n = ( 1.96*31.6228/15) ^2

= (61.981/15 ) ^2

= 17.074 ~ 18