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In 2015 the Washington State Department of Health recorded the number of men and

ID: 2924146 • Letter: I

Question

In 2015 the Washington State Department of Health recorded the number of men and women age 25-34 to die of the following causes:

malignant

neoplasms

heart

disease


In order to improve Health and Safety targets, we would like to know whether the probability of each cause of death is the same for men and women. (Data from Washington State Department of Health, https://www.doh.wa.gov/).

H0 : The variables gender and cause of death are not related

H1 : The variables gender and cause of death are related

a.) If the probability of each cause of death is the same for men and women, how many women would we expect to die as a result of homicide?

b.) What conclusions would you draw about the hypothesis test? State your conclusion both statistically, and in a non-technical way that could be communicated to the general public.

Cause of Death accident suicide homicide

malignant

neoplasms

heart

disease

other total male 113 67 28 13 8 35 264 female 39 13 6 6 3 21 88 total 152 80 34 19 11 56 352

Explanation / Answer

Here, we have to use Chi square test for checking whether the two categorical variables are related or not. The test statistic formula is given as below:

Chi square = [(O – E)/E]

Where, O is observed frequency and E is expected frequency.

Expected frequency is given as below:

Expected frequency = E = Row total * Column total / Grand total

a.) If the probability of each cause of death is the same for men and women, how many women would we expect to die as a result of homicide?

Solution:

Expected number of women = Row total * Column total / Grand total

Expected number of women = 88*34/352 = 8.5

Expected number of women = 9 approximately (rounded)

b.) What conclusions would you draw about the hypothesis test? State your conclusion both statistically, and in a non-technical way that could be communicated to the general public.

Solution:

For the given chi square test of independence, the p-value is given as 0.09351882 which is greater than the given level of significance or alpha value 0.05, so we do not reject the null hypothesis that the variables gender and cause of death are not related. There is insufficient evidence to conclude that the cause of death is related to the gender of the person. There is sufficient evidence to conclude that the cause of death is not related to the gender of the person. There is no any relationship found in the cause of death and gender of the person.

The excel output for this Chi square test is given as below:

Chi-Square Test

Observed Frequencies

Column variable

Row variable

C1

C2

C3

C4

C5

C6

Total

R1

113

67

28

13

8

35

264

R2

39

13

6

6

3

21

88

Total

152

80

34

19

11

56

352

Expected Frequencies

Column variable

Row variable

C1

C2

C3

C4

C5

C6

Total

R1

114

60

25.5

14.25

8.25

42

264

R2

38

20

8.5

4.75

2.75

14

88

Total

152

80

34

19

11

56

352

Data

Level of Significance

0.05

Number of Rows

2

Number of Columns

6

Degrees of Freedom

5

Results

Critical Value

11.0705

Chi-Square Test Statistic

9.417713

p-Value

0.093519

Do not reject the null hypothesis

Expected frequency assumption

       is met.

Chi-Square Test

Observed Frequencies

Column variable

Row variable

C1

C2

C3

C4

C5

C6

Total

R1

113

67

28

13

8

35

264

R2

39

13

6

6

3

21

88

Total

152

80

34

19

11

56

352

Expected Frequencies

Column variable

Row variable

C1

C2

C3

C4

C5

C6

Total

R1

114

60

25.5

14.25

8.25

42

264

R2

38

20

8.5

4.75

2.75

14

88

Total

152

80

34

19

11

56

352

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