What distinguishes managerial trainees who eventually becomeexecutives from thos

Question

What distinguishes managerial trainees who eventually becomeexecutives from those who dont succeed and leave the company? Wehave abundant data on past trainees-data on their personalities andgoals, their college preparation and performance, even their familybackgrounds and their hobbies. Statistical software makes it easyto perform dozens of significance tests on these dozens ofvariables to see which ones best predict later success. We findthat future executives are significantly more likely than washoutsto have an urban or suburban upbringing and an undergraduate degreein a technical field. Explain clearly why using these "significant"variables to select future trainees is not wise.

Explanation / Answer

When many variables are examined, "significant" results will show up by chance, so we should not take it for granted that the variables indentified are really indicative of future success.

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