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12. The following is a payoff table giving profits for various situations. Alter

ID: 2900433 • Letter: 1

Question











12. The following is a payoff table giving profits for various situations.

Alternatives  Satets of Nature

                       A            B          C

Alt-ve 1        100       120       180

Alt-ve 2        200        100       50

Alt-ve 3         120        140      120

Do Nothing     0            0          0


The probabilities for states of nature A, B, and C are 0.3, 0.5, and 0.2, respectively. If a perfect forecast of the future were available, what is the expected value of perfect information (EVPI)?



166



0



36



40



None of these

0.5 -0.5 0.922 There is insufficient information to answer the question. None of these

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166


  • 0.922