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You are given: (i) The current price of a stock is 1,000. (ii) The stock pays di

ID: 2818430 • Letter: Y

Question

You are given:

(i) The current price of a stock is 1,000.

(ii) The stock pays dividends continuously at a rate proportional to its price.

(iii) The continuously compounded risk-free interest rate is 5%.

(iv) a 6-month forward price of 1,020 is observed in the market.

Describe actious you could take to exploit an arbitrage opportunity and calculate the resulting profit (per stock unit) in each of the following cases:

(a) The dividend yield of the stock is 0.5%

(b) The dividend yield of the stock is 2%

Explanation / Answer

Current stock price =1000

Contineous risk free rate = 5%

Time (t)= 6 months (1/2) years

Forward Price = 1020

a) Dividend yield (D)= 0.5%

Ideally, Forward Price = Spot price * e^(Rf - D)*t

Forward Price = 1000 * e^(0.045)/2 = 1046.02

Since expected forward price is more than the observed forward price, this contract is under priced so we should buy it

Short sell share and get the money = 1000

Invest the money at risk free rate

Buy the forward contract = 1020

Money you will have after 6 months = 1046.02

buy the share at = 1020

Profit = 26.02

b) Dividend yield (D)= 2%

Ideally, Forward Price = Spot price * e^(Rf - D)*t

Forward Price = 1000 * e^(0.03)/2 = 1030.45

Since expected forward price is more than the observed forward price, this contract is under priced so we should buy it

Short sell share and get the money = 1000

Invest the money at risk free rate

Buy the forward contract = 1020

Money you will have after 6 months = 1030.45

buy the share at = 1020

Profit = 10.45

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