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XYZ Company common stock is currently selling for $20 per share. Security analys

ID: 2816395 • Letter: X

Question

XYZ Company common stock is currently selling for $20 per share. Security analysts at Smith Blarney have assigned the following probability distribution to the price of (and rate of return on) XYZ stock one year from now:

Price

Rate of Return

Probability

$14

–30%

0.30

22

10%

0.10

24

+20%

0..10

28

+40%

0.50



Assuming that XYZ is not expected to pay any dividends during the coming year, determine the expected rate of return on XYZ Stock.

Price

Rate of Return

Probability

$14

–30%

0.30

22

10%

0.10

24

+20%

0..10

28

+40%

0.50

Explanation / Answer

Expected rate of return = 0.3* (-30%) + 0.1 *10% + 0.1* 20% + 0.5*40%

= 14%