es evolve, certain factors can drive sudden growth. This may lead to a period of
ID: 2809960 • Letter: E
Question
es evolve, certain factors can drive sudden growth. This may lead to a period of nonconstant, or variable, As compan growth. This would cause the expected growth rate to increase or decrease, thereby affecting the valuation model. For companies in such situations, you would refer to the variable, or nonconstant, growth model for the valuation of the company's stock. Consider the case of Portman Industries: Portman Industries just paid a dividend of $3.60 per share. The company expects the coming year to be very profitable, and its dividend is expected to grow by 16.00% over the next year. After the next year, though, Portman's dividend is expected to grow at a constant rate of 3.20% per year. The risk-free rate (re) is 4.00%, the market risk premium (RP) is 4.809%, and Portman's beta is 1 Term Value .22 Dividends one year from now (Di) Horizon value (P1) Intrinsic value of Portman's stock Assuming that the market is in equilibrium, use the information just given to complete the table. What is the expected dividend yield for Portman's stock today? 5.25%. 6.36% 6.56% 6.98% Now let's apply the results of your calculations to the following situation: Portman has 600,000 shares outstanding, and Judy Davis, an investor, holds 9,000 shares at the current price (computed above). Suppose Portman is considering issuing 75,000 new shares at a price of $54.11 per share. If the new shares are sold to outside investors, by how much will Judy's investment in Portman Industries be diluted on a per-share basis?Explanation / Answer
rate of return
risk free rate+(market risk premium)*beta
4+(4.8)*1.2
9.76
terminal value of stock
expected dividend in year 2 /(required return-growth rate)
4.3096/(9.76%-3.20%)
65.69512195
intrinsic value or present value of stock
(dividend in year 1+terminal value)/(1+r)^n
(4.176 + 65.695)/1.0976^1
63.65798105
expected dividend in year 1
3.6*1.16
4.176
expected dividend in year 2
4.176*1.032
4.309632
D1
4.176
horizon value
65.69512
Instrinsic value
63.66
expected dividend yield = expected dividend in year 1/ intrinsic value
4.176/63.66
6.56%
present value of Judy davis
9000*63.66
572940
value of equity after new issue
(600000*63.66)+(75000*54.11)
42254250
value of equity per share after new issue
42254250/675000
62.59889
value of Judy Davis shares after new stock issue
62.598*9000
563390
dilution in value of Judy davis share
572940-563390
9550
dilution per share
9550/9000
1.06
rate of return
risk free rate+(market risk premium)*beta
4+(4.8)*1.2
9.76
terminal value of stock
expected dividend in year 2 /(required return-growth rate)
4.3096/(9.76%-3.20%)
65.69512195
intrinsic value or present value of stock
(dividend in year 1+terminal value)/(1+r)^n
(4.176 + 65.695)/1.0976^1
63.65798105
expected dividend in year 1
3.6*1.16
4.176
expected dividend in year 2
4.176*1.032
4.309632
D1
4.176
horizon value
65.69512
Instrinsic value
63.66
expected dividend yield = expected dividend in year 1/ intrinsic value
4.176/63.66
6.56%
present value of Judy davis
9000*63.66
572940
value of equity after new issue
(600000*63.66)+(75000*54.11)
42254250
value of equity per share after new issue
42254250/675000
62.59889
value of Judy Davis shares after new stock issue
62.598*9000
563390
dilution in value of Judy davis share
572940-563390
9550
dilution per share
9550/9000
1.06
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