Harbin Manufacturing has 10 million shares outstanding with a current share pric
ID: 2791288 • Letter: H
Question
Harbin Manufacturing has 10 million shares outstanding with a current share price of $20.36 per share. In one year, the share price is equally likely to be $28 or $19. The risk-free interest rate is 5%. a. Using the risk-neutral probabilities, what is the value of a one-year call option on Harbin stock with a strike price of $25? b. What is the expected return of the call option? c. Using the risk-neutral probabilities, what is the value of a one-year put option on Harbin stock with a strike price of $25? d. What is the expected return of the put option?
Explanation / Answer
a)
payoff in upper side = max(28 - 25,0) = 3
payoff in down side = max(19 - 25,0) = 0
hedge ratio = (3 - 0) / (28-19) = 0.33
Sell one call buy 0.33 shares
-C + 0.33*S
Value after 1 year in upside = -3 + 0.33*28 = 6.33
Downside = 0 + 0.33*19 = 6.33
PV of portfolio = 6.33 / (1+5%) = 6.0317
current value of portfolio = -C + 0.33*20.36 = -C + 6.7867
-C + 6.7867 = 6.0317
C = 6.7867 - 6.0317 = 0.7549
b)
expected return = 0.5*3 + 0.5*0 = 1.5
call cost = 0.7549
return = (1.5 - 0.7549) / 0.7549 = 98.7%
c)
payoff in upper side = max(25 - 28,0) = 0
payoff in down side = max(25 - 19,0) = 6
hedge ratio = (0 - 6) / (28-19) = -0.67
buy one put and buy 0.67 shares
P + 0.67*S
Value after 1 year in upside = 0 + 0.67*28 = 18.67
Downside = 6 + 0.67*19 = 18.67
PV of portfolio = 18.67 / (1+5%) = 17.78
current value of portfolio = P + 0.67*S = P + 0.67*20.36
P + 13.57 = 17.78
P = 4.2044
d)
expected return = 0.5*0 + 0.5*6 = 3
call cost = 4.2044
return = (3 - 4.2044 ) / 4.2044 = -28.65%
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