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An investor is trying to estimate his expected return on an investment in the ne

ID: 2787254 • Letter: A

Question

An investor is trying to estimate his expected return on an investment in the next 12 months. He believes the economy will be one of three states: Bad, Average, or Great. He has estimated the probability of each state and the return he will get in each environment.


Find the expected return based on his assumptions.

Answer Format: Percentage Round to: 2 decimal places (Example: 9.24%, % sign required. Will accept decimal format rounded to 4 decimal places (ex: 0.0924))

OUTCOME: Probability Return BAD 0.34 -16.00% AVERAGE 0.44 6.00% GREAT 0.22 32.00%

Explanation / Answer

Expected return=Respective returns*Respective probabilities

=(0.34*-16)+(0.44*6)+(0.22*32)

=4.24%

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