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As an equity analyst you are concerned with what will happen to the required ret

ID: 2779327 • Letter: A

Question

As an equity analyst you are concerned with what will happen to the required return to Universal Toddler Industries's stoc as market conditions change. Suppose rFR=5%, rM=12%, and bUTI=1.4.

a) Under current conditions, what is the rUTI, the required rate of return on UTI stock?

b) Now suppose rFR (1) increase to 6% or (2) decreases to 4%. The slope of the SML remains constant. How would this affect rM and rUTI?

c) Now assume rFR remains at 5% but rM (1) increases to 14% or (2) falls to 11%. The slope of the SML does not remain constant. How would these changes affect rUTI?

Explanation / Answer

Answer (a)

Required rate of return on UTI stock = 14.8%

Answer (b) (1)

If r(FR) increases to 6% but slope of SML remains constant, then r(M) = 13% and r(UTI) = 15.8%

Answer (b) (2)

If r(FR) increases to 4% but slope of SML remains constant, then r(M) = 11% and r(UTI) = 13.8%

Answer (c) (1)

If r(FR) remains constant, r(M) increases to 14% and slope of SML is not constant, r(UTI) = 17.6%

If r(FR) remains constant, r(M) falls to 11% and slope of SML is not constant, r(UTI) = 13.4%

working

Risk Free rate r(FR) = 5%

Return on Market r(M) = 12%

Beta of Stock b(UTI) = 1.4

Expected Return on stock r(UTI) = r(FR) + b(UTI) * (r(M) – r(FR))

                                                          = 5% + 1.4 (12% - 5%)

                                                          = 5% + 1.4 * 7%

                                                          = 5% + 9.8% = 14.8%

Slope of SML is Treynor Ratio which is equal to

r(UTI) – r(FR)/b(UTI)   = r(M) – r(FR)

(14.8% - 5%)/1.4 = 12% - 5% = 7%

The above equation can be rearranged as

r(UTI) – r(FR) = b(UTI) * (r(M) – r(FR))

which is the second part of the expected return calculation

If r(FR) increases to 6% but slope remains same at 7%

r(M) - r(FR) = 7% ==>   r(M) – 6% = 7% ==> r(M) = 7% + 6% = 13%

r(UTI) = r(FR) + 1.4 (r(M) – r(FR) = 6% + 1.4 * 7% = 6% + 9.8% = 15.8%

If r(FR) decreases to 4%

r(M) - r(FR) = 7% ==>   r(M) – 4% = 7% ==> r(M) = 7% + 4% = 11%

r(UTI) = r(FR) + 1.4 (r(M) – r(FR) = 4% + 1.4 * 7% = 4% + 9.8% = 13.8%

r(FR) remains constant at 5%, r(M) increase to 14% and Slope of SML is not constant

Slope = r(M) – r(FR) = 14% - 5% = 9%

r(UTI) = 5% + 1.4 * 9% = 5% + 12.6% = 17.6%

r(FR) remains constant at 5%, r(M) falls to 11% and Slope of SML is not constant

Slope = r(M) – r(FR) = 11% - 5% = 6%

r(UTI) = 5% + 1.4 * 6% = 5% + 8.4% = 13.4%

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