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You have estimated the following probability distributions ofexpected future ret

ID: 2770984 • Letter: Y

Question

You have estimated the following probability distributions ofexpected future returns for stock X and Y: Stock X Probability   Return 0.1                -10% 0.2                 10% 0.4                 15% 0.2                 20% 0.1                40% Stock Y Probability           Return 0.2                       2% 0.2                       7% 0.3                       12% 0.2                      15% 0.1                      16% a) What is the expected rate of return for stock x? Stocky? b) What is the standard deviation of expected returns forstock x? For stock y? c)Which stock would you consider to be riskier? why? You have estimated the following probability distributions ofexpected future returns for stock X and Y: Stock X Probability   Return 0.1                -10% 0.2                 10% 0.4                 15% 0.2                 20% 0.1                40% Stock Y Probability           Return 0.2                       2% 0.2                       7% 0.3                       12% 0.2                      15% 0.1                      16% a) What is the expected rate of return for stock x? Stocky? b) What is the standard deviation of expected returns forstock x? For stock y? c)Which stock would you consider to be riskier? why?

Explanation / Answer

a) expected return of stock X = 0.1 *(-10%) + 0.2 *10% + 0.4 *15%+0.2 *20% +0.1*40%=15% expected return of stock Y = 0.2 *2% +0.2*7%+ 0.3 *12%+0.2*15% +0.1*16%= 10%
b) variance of stock X = 0.1 (15+10)^2 + 0.2 (15-10)^2+ 0.4(15-15)^2 +0.2 (15-20)^2 +0.1 (15-40)^2= 135    standard deviation of stock X = square rootof 135 = 11.62%    variance of stock Y = 0.2 *(10-2)^2 +0.2(10-7)^2 +0.3 (10-12)^2 +0.2 (10-15)^2 +0.1 (10-16)^2 =24.4    standard deviation of stock Y = square rootof 24.4 =4.94 % c) stock X is riskier because it has higher standard deviation(which is a measuer of total risk)
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