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11-15 The Butler-Perkins Company (BPC) must decide between two mutually exclusiv

ID: 2766800 • Letter: 1

Question

11-15 The Butler-Perkins Company (BPC) must decide between two mutually exclusive projects. Each costs $6,750 and has an expected life of 3 years. Annual project cash flows begin 1 year after the initial investment is made and have the following probability distributions:

Project A

Project B

Probability

Cash Flows

Probability

Cash Flows

0.2

$6,500

0.2

$0  

0.6

$6,750

0.6

$6,750  

0.2

$7,500

0.2

$18,000  

BBC has decided to evaluate the riskier project at 12% rate and the less risky project at a 10% rate.

A. What is the expected value of the annual net cash flows from each project? What is a coefficient of variation CV?

B. What is the risk-adjusted NPV of each project?

C. If it were known that project B is negatively correlated with other cash flows of the firm whereas project A is positively correlated, how would this affect that decision? If project B's cash flows were negatively correlated with gross domestic product GDP, would that influence your assessment of its risk?

PLEASE SHOW WORK

Project A

Project B

Probability

Cash Flows

Probability

Cash Flows

0.2

$6,500

0.2

$0  

0.6

$6,750

0.6

$6,750  

0.2

$7,500

0.2

$18,000  

Explanation / Answer

A. Expected net cash flows from each project

Project A: 6500 *0.2 + 6750*0.6 + 7500*0.2 = $6,850

Project B : 0.2*0+0.6*6750+0.2*18000 = $7,650

The coefficient of variation for project A is calulated as follows:

The coefficient of variation for project B is calulated as follows:

B. NPV of project A at 10% (less risky)

The NPV of project B is as follows:

C: If the all the projecs of the firms are not performing upto the mark, the selecting B makes sense becuase of negative correlation

If the GDP of the country is reducing and the economy of the country is in recession, then selecting B makes sense becuase of the negative correlation

Project A 0.2 6500 0.6 6750 0.2 7500 Coeffient of variance 0.075241
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