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A stock price is $100 and can go up or down $10 in one month. The risk-free inte

ID: 2762347 • Letter: A

Question

A stock price is $100 and can go up or down $10 in one month. The risk-free interest rate is 5% and no dividends are scheduled.

a)Using the binomial model calculate the value of a 1-month at-the-money European call.

b)Calculate the implicit probability p of the stock price going up to $110 in one month. HINT: Express the discounted expected call payoff as a function of p, match your answer in (a) and solve for p.   c) What is your annualized expected return and risk if you invest in the stock? Is your answer consistent with portfolio theory?

Explanation / Answer

Rf = 5/12

    = 0.42%

(B) Implicit probability p of the stock price going up (P) = S*(1+Rf) – D/U-D

                                                                                         = 100*(1.0042)– 90/110-90

                                                                                         = 100.42-90/20

                                                                                         = 0.521

(1-P) = 1-0.521

         = 0.479

Stock price =$100

Assuming strike price = 105

Stock upward price = $110        Strike price: $105     Option Price movement = $5

                                                                                                 (Option will be exercised)

Stock downward price = $90   Strike price: $105   Option Price movement = 0

                                                                                                 (Option will not be exercised)


(A)Value of call option = Expected value after one year / 1.0042

                                    = ($5*0.521) +(0*0.479) / 1.0042

                                    = $2.59

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