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Your investment strategy is to maximize expected return but with a risk level (s

ID: 2756973 • Letter: Y

Question

Your investment strategy is to maximize expected return but with a risk level (standard deviation) that does not exceed 15%. Since you are a CAPM believer, you hold a combination of the market portfolio and risk free asset. The market expected return in 10% with a standard deviation of 20% and the risk free rate is 3%.

(A) What portfolio do you hold?

ANSWER (A)

Answer: The portfolio would consist of 75% market portfolio and 25% risky asset.

The Standard deviation of a portfolio containing a risky asset (here the market portfolio) and a risk free asset is given by the formula

Standard deviation of the Portfolio = Weight of the risky asset * Standard deviation of the risky asset.

For the porfolio to have a risk level of 15% (std deviation) the weight of the market portfolio can be solved from

the equation 15 = Wt of the risky asset * 20 ; Wt of the risky asset = 15/20 = 0.75.

Therefore the portfolio would consist of 75% market portfolio and 25% risky asset.

The expected return would be 0.75*10 + 0.25*3 = 8.25%.

Derivation of the formula for a portfolio with a risk free asset.

of the risky asset. Hence, the standard deviation of the portfolio = weight of the risky asset in the portfolio * standard deviation of the risky asset.

NASA has just announced that it not only found water on MARS but it also plans to open a resort on MARS named “MARS for Life”. NASA wishes to sell the new venture to investors in an initial public offering (IPO). An analyst estimates expected profits (Revenues – Expenses) would be $1B one year from now. The analysts mention that these are the expected profits and the risk (standard deviation) of this venture is 30% and the correlation with the market is 0.2. For simplicity we assume that this is a 1 year project where all revenues and expenses occur 1 year from now.

Q: 1 In the public offering NASA plans to sell 50M shares. What is the maximal share price at which you will invest in the new venture?

ANSWER Q:1

Standard Deviation = 30%

Correlation with Market = 0.2

Required rate of return (R) = 0.2*30% = 6%

Net Cash Flows after 1 year = $1 Billion

To calculate future value of net cash flows, we have to discount the net cash flows with R

Future Value of net cash flows = 1,000,000,000/(1.06)

= $943,396,226

Thus the future value of cash flows available to all shareholders = $943,396,226

No of shares = 50,000,000

Thus the future value of cash flows available for each share = $943,396,226/50,000,000 = $18.87

Thus, the maximum price at which i will invest in teh venture is $18.87 per share

Q: 2 Suppose that the price for “MARS for Life” is 10% lower than your answer in Q: 1. How would your answer to Part (A) change? What portfolio would you hold?

PLEASE ONLY ANSWER Q:2 . I INCLUDED THE ANSWERS OF PART A AND Q:1 GIVEN BY CHEGG EXPERTS PREVIOUSLY ON MY POSTS FOR THE REFERENCE FOR ANSWERING Q:2

Explanation / Answer

Answer -2 If Price of MARS for Life is 10 % lower, Value of per share will be

= 18.87-18.87*10%

= 16.98/ share

If value will 16.98/share total Future value will be

= 16.98*50000000

= 849000000

Required rate of return = 1000000000/849000000

= 1.177 = 1.18 = 18%

Standard deviation will be = 18/0.2 = 90%

Wt of this asset = 15/90 = 0.1666= 17 %

We hold 17% of the portfolio.

  

Future Value of return = 943,396,226