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Q 3. The rates of return on Project A and or umon Project A A and the market por

ID: 2727540 • Letter: Q

Question

Q 3. The rates of return on Project A and or umon Project A A and the market portfolio in three future states are given below: State of Economy Probability Return on Return ón ProjectA- Market Portfolio Good Average Poor 33.3% 33.3% 33.3% 40% 20% -10% 30% 10% -10% . Calculate the expected return for Project A and for the market portfolio. Calculate the variance for the market portfolio. C Calculate the beta for Project A. d. If the risk free-rate is 5%, what is the required return for Project A? Should you invest in Project A?

Explanation / Answer

a)   Expected Return of A  

.40*.3333+.20*.3333-10*.3333

=16.67%

Expected Return of market

.3*.3333+.1*.3333-10*.3333

=10%

b)

Variance of market

probability

return

variance

.33

.30

(.30-.10)2.3333

.0133.

.33

.10

(.10-.10)2.3333

0

.33

.-10

(-.10-.10)2.3333

.0133

.0266

c) covariance for beta

probability

return A

Return market

covariance

33.33

.40

.30

(.40-.1667)(.3-.1).3333

33.33

.20.

.10

(.20-.1667)(.1-.1).3333

33.33

-.10

.-10

(-.1-.1667)(-.1-.1).3333

.033

Beta of stock =covariance of market and stock/variance of market

.033/.0266=1.24

d)

CAPM   return on A =.05+1.24(.10-.05)

=11.2%

probability

return

variance

.33

.30

(.30-.10)2.3333

.0133.

.33

.10

(.10-.10)2.3333

0

.33

.-10

(-.10-.10)2.3333

.0133

.0266