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A tunnel through a mountain is being considered as a replacement for an existing

ID: 2726960 • Letter: A

Question

A tunnel through a mountain is being considered as a replacement for an existing stretch of highway in south-eastern Kentucky. The existing road is a steep, narrow, winding two-lane highway that has been the site of numerous fatal accidents, with an average of 2.05 fatalities and 3.35 “serious injuries” per year. It has been projected that the tunnel will significantly reduce the frequency of accidents, with estimates of not more than 0.15 fatalities and 0.35 “serious injuries” per year. Initial capital investment requirements, including land acquisition, tunnel excavation, lighting, roadbed preparation, etc., have been estimated to be $60,000,000. Annualized upkeep costs for the tunnel will be significantly less than for the existing highway, resulting in an annual savings of $105,000. For purposes of this analysis, a “value per life saved” of $1,000,000 will be applied, along with an estimate of $750,000 for medical costs, disability, etc., per “serious injury”. Apply the benefit-cost-ratio method, with an anticipated life of the tunnel project of 50 yr and an interest rate of 8% per year, to determine whether the tunnel should be constructed.

a. Not recommend constructing the tunnel
b. Recommend constructing the tunnel

Explanation / Answer

Cost 60000000 Benefits Savings in Annual costs (P/A,8%,50 Yrs.) 105000*12.23348 1284515 Savings in fatalities (2.05-0.15)*1000000= 1900000 Savings in Medical costs for serious injuries (3.35-0.35)*750000= 2250000 Total annual savings 4150000 P/A,8%, 50 yrs.) of annual sav. 50768942 Total Benefits = 52053457 Benefit/Cost Ratio= 52053457/60000000 0.868 As the ratio is less than 1 a. Not recommend constructing the tunnel

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