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The Lake Nocee Department Store has an opportunity to purchase a special shipmen

ID: 2721099 • Letter: T

Question

The Lake Nocee Department Store has an opportunity to purchase a special shipment of X-mas tableware at $28 a set. These sets of tableware are to be sold for $35 as a special promotion during the store’s 40th anniversary sale. Nocee must purchase the items in units of a dozen sets. Tableware is not part of the store’s normal product lines, so if items are not sold during the X-mas cum 40th anniversary, they will be sold in the Bargain Basement for $22.20 per set. A sales consultant has estimated the following distribution of demand.

Demand (dozens)                 Probability

4 or less                                    0

5                                                0.10

6                                                 0.15

7                                                0.25

8                                                0.20

9                                                0.15

10                                               0.10

11                                               0.05

12                                                0

Determine the optimal order quantity for Nocee regarding this item.

Explanation / Answer

Answer : optimal order quantity for Nocee = 8 dozec

Working notes for the above answer is as under

Co =$ 28-$ 22.20

=$5.80

Cu =$ 35-$28

   =$ 7

P(d)*= Co /Cu+Co

     =$ 5.80/$ 7+$5.8

=0.45

By referring to the cumulative probability column in Table it found the largest quantity with P(D) = 0.45 was 8, so he ordered 8 dozen sets of tableware.

Demand (D) (Dozens) Probability of Demand [P(d)] (Probability demand will equal this level) Cumulative Probability
of Demand [P(D)] (Probability demand will equal or exceed this level 4 or less 0 1 5 0.1 1 6 0.15 0.9 7 0.25 0.75 8 0.2 0.5 9 0.15 0.3 10 0.1 0.15 11 0.05 0.05 12 0 0
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