1. Cnooc, a Chinese public-sector company, has made a bid to purchase Unocal, a

Question

1. Cnooc, a Chinese public-sector company, has made a bid to purchase Unocal, a big U.S oil company, for $18.5 billion in June 2005. Treat this as an initial investment made by Cnooc in this two-year, U.S based project. Frank F.X. Gong, chief economist for China at J.P Morgan has forecast that the Yuan will rise to 7.74 Yuan/$ by the end of 2005 and to 7.2 Yuan/$ by the end of 2006.

1. If it now purchased Unocal in August 2005, how many Yuan does Cnooc save on its initial investment because of the Chinese revaluation of the Yuan from 8.28 Yuan/$ to 8.11 Yuan/$ on July 21, 2005?

2. If the after-tax cashflows generated by the two-year, U.S based project are $12 billion at the end of 2005 and $14 billion at the end of 2006, and the chinese cost of capital is 15%, what is the NPV in Yuan?

3. Under what conditions would you recommend the APV technique to a Chinese company evaluating a U.S project?

Explanation / Answer

Initial investment made by Cnooc If it now purchased Unocal in August 2005 =  $18.5 billion

Revaluation of the Yuan from 8.28 Yuan/$ on aug 2005 to 8.11 Yuan/$ on July 21, 2005 = 18.5billion * 0.00253161541 = 46834885

2. If the after-tax cashflows generated by the two-year, U.S based project are $12 billion at the end of 2005 and $14 billion at the end of 2006, and the chinese cost of capital is 15%, what is the NPV in Yuan

NPV = Present value of cash intflow - present value of cash outflow

= (12*0.870+ 14*0.756) - (18.5 billion * 1)

= 21.024 - 18.5 = 2.524 billion

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