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Keener Clothiers Inc. is considering investing $2 million in an automatic sewing

ID: 2683060 • Letter: K

Question

Keener Clothiers Inc. is considering investing $2 million in an automatic sewing machine to produce a newly designed line of dresses. The dresses will be priced at $200, and management expects to sell 12,000 per year for six years. There is, however, some uncertainty about production costs associated with the new machine. The production department has estimated operating costs at 70% of revenues, but senior management realizes that this figure could turn out to be as low as 65% or as high as 75%. The new machine will be depreciated at a rate of $200,000 per year for six years (straight line, zero salvage). Keener

Explanation / Answer

Cost as a % of Revenue

Cash Flow in Years 1-5                   @65%                   @70%                   @75%

            Revenues                            $2,400                   $2,400                   $2,400

            Operating Costs                    1,560                     1,680                     1,800

            Depreciation                            200                        200                        200

            EBT Impact                             640                        520                        400

            Tax                                          224                        182                        140

            EAT Impact                             416                        338                        260

            Add back depreciation.            200                        200                        200

            Cash Flow                                616                        538                        460

NPVs using a financial calculator yields:

                                                          Best                   Point Est                   Worst

            CFo                                    (2,000)                   (2,000)                   (2,000)

            C01                                          616                        538                        460

            F01                                              6                            6                            6

            I                                                 14                          14                          14

            NPV                                  395.419                   92.103               (211.213)