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Forecasting the Income Statement, Balance Sheet, and Statement of Cash Flows Fol

ID: 2536712 • Letter: F

Question

Forecasting the Income Statement, Balance Sheet, and Statement of Cash Flows

Following are the financial statements of Nike, Inc.

We forecast Nike's income statement using the following forecast assumptions:

Instructions: Forecast Nike's fiscal year 2012 income statement.

Assume no change for: other income and interest expense.

Round forecasts to $ millions.

Do not use negative signs with your answers in the income statement.

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We forecast Nike's balance sheet using the following forecast assumptions:

Instructions: Forecast Nike's fiscal year 2012 balance sheet.

Assume no change for: short-term investments, goodwill, notes payable, common stock, capital in excess of stated value and accumulated other comprehensive income.

Round forecasts to $ millions.

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Instructions: Forecast Nike's fiscal year 2012 stastement of cash flows.

Remember to use negative signs with your answers below, when appropriate.

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Consolidated Statements of Income Year ended May 31 In Millions 2011 2010 Revenues $ 20,862 $ 19,014 Cost of sales 11,354 10,214 Gross profit 9,508 8,800 Demand creation expense 2,448 2,356 Operating overhead expense 4,245 3,970 Total selling and administrative expense 6,693 6,326 Interest expense (income), net 4 6 Other (income) (33) (49) Income before income taxes 2,844 2,517 Income taxes 711 610 Net income $ 2,133 $ 1,907

Explanation / Answer

Nick's Forecasted Income Statement

($ millions)

2011

Assumptions   

2012 Est.

Revenues.................................

20,862

20,862

x

1.10

22,948

Cost of sales............................

11,354

22,948

x

54.4%

12,484

Gross margin...........................

9,508

10,464

Demand creation expense........

2,448

22,948

x

11.7%

2,685

Operating overhead expense...

4,245

22,948

x

20.3%

4,658

Interest expense (income), net

4

4

Other (income).........................

(33)

(40)

Income before income taxes....

2,844

3,157

Income taxes............................

711

3,157

x

25.0%

789

Net income...............................

2,133

2,368

Balance Sheet

($ millions)

2011

Assumptions

2012 Est.

Cash and equivalents...........

$

1,955

22,948

x

9.4%

$

2,157

Short-term investments.......

2,583

2,583

New investments.................

0

plug

946

Accounts receivable, net.....

3,138

22,948

x

15.0%

3,442

Inventories...........................

2,715

22,948

x

13.0%

2,983

Deferred income taxes.........

312

22,948

x

1.5%

344

Prepaid expenses and other current assets..................

594

22,948

x

2.8%

643

Total current assets.............

11,297

13,098

Property, plant and equipment, net ................

2,115

+

482

-

366

2,231

Identifiable intangible assets, net........................

487

-

24

463

Goodwill..............................

205

205

Deferred income taxes and other assets......................

894

22,948

x

4.3%

987

Total assets.........................

$

14,998

$

16,984

Current portion of long-term debt..................................

$

200

$

48

Notes payable......................

187

187

Accounts payable................

1,469

22,948

x

7.0%

1,606

Accrued liabilities................

1,985

22,948

x

9.5%

2,180

Income taxes payable..........

117

789

x

16.5%

130

Total current liabilities........

3,958

4,151

Long-term debt....................

276

-

48

228

Deferred income taxes and other liabilities.................

921

22,948

x

4.4%

1,010

Common stock at stated value.................................

3

3

Capital in excess of stated value.................................

3,944

3,944

Accumulated other comprehensive income....

95

95

Retained earnings................

5,801

+

2,366

-

616

7,553

Total shareholders' equity...

9,843

11,595

Total liabilities and shareholders' equity.........

$

14,998

$

16,984

Nike’s Forecasted Statement of Cash Flows

($ millions)

Assumptions

2012 Est.

Net income...............................................

$

2,368

Add: depreciation.....................................

366

Add: amortization.....................................

24

Chg. Accounts receivable.........................

3,138

-

3,442

(304)

Chg. Inventories.......................................

2,715

-

2,983

(268)

Chg. Deferred income taxes.....................

312

-

344

(32)

Chg. Prepaid expenses and other current assets....................................................

594

-

643

(49)

Chg. L-T Deferred income taxes and other assets..........................................

894

-

987

(93)

Chg. Accounts payable.............................

1,606

-

1,469

137

Chg. Accrued liabilities............................

2,180

-

1,985

195

Chg. Income taxes payable.......................

130

-

117

13

Chg. L-T Deferred income taxes and other liabilities.................................................

1,010

-

921

89

Net cash from operating activities ............

2,446

Capital expenditures..................................

22,948

x

2.1%

(482)

Purchase of investments............................

(946)

Net cash from investing activities .............

(1,428)

Dividends...................................................

2,368

x

26.0%

(616)

Payments of LT Debt..................................

(200)

Net cash from financing activities ............

(816)

Net change in cash.....................................

202

Beginning cash..........................................

1,955

Ending cash...............................................

$

2,157

Summary: Our initial balance sheet reports total assets of $16,039 million and total liabilities and equity of $16,984 million. To balance the balance sheet, we can either reduce liabilities (i.e., pay down debt) or increase assets (i.e., purchase investments). Since Nike does not have a significant amount of short-term debt, we chose to increase marketable securities by $945 million. Nike’s return on investments was about 1.4% ($33 million / (($2,583 + 2,067)/2) million) in 2011. We assume that the company will realize the same return on investment in 2012 and that the additional investments will be purchased ratably over the year. Consequently, our forecast of investment income increases by $7 million ([$945 million / 2] x 1.4%) from $33 million to $40 million.

($ millions)

2011

Assumptions   

2012 Est.

Revenues.................................

20,862

20,862

x

1.10

22,948

Cost of sales............................

11,354

22,948

x

54.4%

12,484

Gross margin...........................

9,508

10,464

Demand creation expense........

2,448

22,948

x

11.7%

2,685

Operating overhead expense...

4,245

22,948

x

20.3%

4,658

Interest expense (income), net

4

4

Other (income).........................

(33)

(40)

Income before income taxes....

2,844

3,157

Income taxes............................

711

3,157

x

25.0%

789

Net income...............................

2,133

2,368

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