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Use the portfolio technique to analyze the following problem. An investor has $1

ID: 2470709 • Letter: U

Question

Use the portfolio technique to analyze the following problem. An investor has $100,000 to invest in a business venture, or she can earn 12 percent/year with a $100,000 certificate of deposit for 4 years. Three possible business ventures have been identified. Any money not invested in the business venture can be put into a bank account that earn 8 percent/year. Based on a future worth analysis, what should be done with the $100,000? Bank account can be added to at any time. Cort. Ficate of Deposit can only deposit at t = 0. Show a full analysis

Explanation / Answer

Analysis of Investment Proposals:

End of Year

Future value of $ 1 (At 12%)

BV 01

BV 02

BV 03

Cash Flow

Future Value

Cash Flow

Future Value

Cash Flow

Future Value

A

B

C = B*A

D

E = D*A

F

G =F*A

0

1.57352

$         (35,000.00)

$                  (55,073.18)

($80,000.00)

($125,881.55)

($60,000.00)

$   (94,411.16)

(1+1.12)^4

1

1.40493

$                     -  

$                               -  

$10,000.00

$   14,049.28

$            -  

$               -  

(1+1.12)^3

2

1.2544

$                     -  

$                               -  

$10,000.00

$    12,544.00

$40,000.00

$    50,176.00

(1+1.12)^2

3

1.12

$                     -  

$                               -  

$10,000.00

$    11,200.00

$            -  

$               -  

(1+1.12)^1

4

1

$          50,000.00

$                   50,000.00

$90,000.00

$    90,000.00

$40,000.00

$    40,000.00

Net Future Value of the Investment

$                    (5,073.18)

$      1,911.73

$     (4,235.16)

We can think of investment in BV02 as it will result in positive future value, lets see portfolio options below:

Portfolio Options:

Option 1:

Amount invested

Net Future Value

Investment in BV02

$          80,000.00

$                     1,911.73

Investment in Bank Deposit

$          20,000.00

$                     7,209.78

20000*(1.08^4) - 20000

Total

$        100,000.00

$                     9,121.51

Option 2:

Amount invested

Net Future Value

Investment in certificate of Deposit

$        100,000.00

57351.936

100000*(1.12^4) - 100000

Total

$        100,000.00

$                   57,351.94

Hence it is better to invest total $100,000 in certificate of deposit.

Analysis of Investment Proposals:

End of Year

Future value of $ 1 (At 12%)

BV 01

BV 02

BV 03

Cash Flow

Future Value

Cash Flow

Future Value

Cash Flow

Future Value

A

B

C = B*A

D

E = D*A

F

G =F*A

0

1.57352

$         (35,000.00)

$                  (55,073.18)

($80,000.00)

($125,881.55)

($60,000.00)

$   (94,411.16)

(1+1.12)^4

1

1.40493

$                     -  

$                               -  

$10,000.00

$   14,049.28

$            -  

$               -  

(1+1.12)^3

2

1.2544

$                     -  

$                               -  

$10,000.00

$    12,544.00

$40,000.00

$    50,176.00

(1+1.12)^2

3

1.12

$                     -  

$                               -  

$10,000.00

$    11,200.00

$            -  

$               -  

(1+1.12)^1

4

1

$          50,000.00

$                   50,000.00

$90,000.00

$    90,000.00

$40,000.00

$    40,000.00

Net Future Value of the Investment

$                    (5,073.18)

$      1,911.73

$     (4,235.16)

We can think of investment in BV02 as it will result in positive future value, lets see portfolio options below:

Portfolio Options:

Option 1:

Amount invested

Net Future Value

Investment in BV02

$          80,000.00

$                     1,911.73

Investment in Bank Deposit

$          20,000.00

$                     7,209.78

20000*(1.08^4) - 20000

Total

$        100,000.00

$                     9,121.51

Option 2:

Amount invested

Net Future Value

Investment in certificate of Deposit

$        100,000.00

57351.936

100000*(1.12^4) - 100000

Total

$        100,000.00

$                   57,351.94

Hence it is better to invest total $100,000 in certificate of deposit.

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