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For each, submit the data summary indicated at the beginning of the next page al

ID: 1169211 • Letter: F

Question

For each, submit the data summary indicated at the beginning of the next page along with your final answer.

The World Bank is considering an application from the country of Equatoria for a large dam project. Some costs and benefits of the project (dollar values) are as follows:

Construction costs: $500 million/year for three years

Operating costs: $50 million/year

Hydropower to be generated: 3 billion Kilowatt hours/year

Price of electricity: $0.05/Kilowatt hour

Irrigation water available from the dam: 5 billion gallons/year

Price of water: $0.02/gallon

Agricultural product lost from flooded lands: $45 million/year

Forest products lost from flooded lands: $20 million/year

There are also additional, less easily quantifiable, losses: human costs to villagers who will be forced to move, watershed damage, and ecological costs of habitat destruction. It is also possible that the new lake are may contribute to the spread of water-borne diseases.

Do a formal cost-benefit analysis using the quantifiable factors listed. Assume that the lifespan of the dam is 30 years; assume that construction begin now (in Year 0). All other impacts start once the dam is completed (in Year 3) and continue for 30 years (until Year 32).

Scenarios to analyze

1. Do a complete cost-benefit analysis if the interest rate is 10%.

2. Do a complete cost-benefit analysis if the interest rate is 5%.

Complete the data summary (for each scenario analyzed):

Costs PV Benefits PV Construction $? Hydro Power $? Operation $? Irrigation Water $? Flooded Ag $? Total PV of Benefits $? Flooded Forests $? Total PV of Costs $? Net Benefits (NPV) NB=PVB - PVC ? Discount Rate ?% n ? useful life time of the dam (after construction) Current Value CV(annual) Costs Construction $? Operation $? Flooded Ag $? Flooded Forests $? Benefits Hydro Power $? Irrigation Water $?

Explanation / Answer

Cost- Benefit analysis for 10% Interest

Costs

PV

Benefits

PV

Construction

49.50 Billion

Hydro Power

4.95 Billion

Operation

1.65 Billion

Irrigation Water

3.30 Billion

Flooded Ag

1.49 Billion

Total PV of Benefits

8.25 Billion

Flooded Forests

660 Million

Total PV of Costs

53.30 Billion

Net Benefits (NPV)

NB=PVB - PVC

-45.05 Billion

Discount Rate

10%

n

30

useful life time of the dam (after construction)

Current Value

CV(annual)

Costs

Construction

1.50 Billion

Operation

50 Million

Flooded Ag

45 Million

Flooded Forests

20 Million

Benefits

Hydro Power

150 Million

Irrigation Water

100 Million

Cost- Benefit analysis for 5% Interest

Costs

PV

Benefits

PV

Construction

47.25 Billion

Hydro Power

4.73 Billion

Operation

1.58 Billion

Irrigation Water

3.15 Billion

Flooded Ag

1.42 Billion

Total PV of Benefits

7.88 Billion

Flooded Forests

630 Million

Total PV of Costs

50.87 Billion

Net Benefits (NPV)

NB=PVB - PVC

-43 Billion

Discount Rate

5%

n

30

useful life time of the dam (after construction)

Current Value

CV(annual)

Costs

Construction

1.50 Billion

Operation

50 Million

Flooded Ag

45 Million

Flooded Forests

20 Million

Benefits

Hydro Power

150 Million

Irrigation Water

100 Million

Cost- Benefit analysis for 10% Interest

Costs

PV

Benefits

PV

Construction

49.50 Billion

Hydro Power

4.95 Billion

Operation

1.65 Billion

Irrigation Water

3.30 Billion

Flooded Ag

1.49 Billion

Total PV of Benefits

8.25 Billion

Flooded Forests

660 Million

Total PV of Costs

53.30 Billion

Net Benefits (NPV)

NB=PVB - PVC

-45.05 Billion

Discount Rate

10%

n

30

useful life time of the dam (after construction)

Current Value

CV(annual)

Costs

Construction

1.50 Billion

Operation

50 Million

Flooded Ag

45 Million

Flooded Forests

20 Million

Benefits

Hydro Power

150 Million

Irrigation Water

100 Million

Cost- Benefit analysis for 5% Interest

Costs

PV

Benefits

PV

Construction

47.25 Billion

Hydro Power

4.73 Billion

Operation

1.58 Billion

Irrigation Water

3.15 Billion

Flooded Ag

1.42 Billion

Total PV of Benefits

7.88 Billion

Flooded Forests

630 Million

Total PV of Costs

50.87 Billion

Net Benefits (NPV)

NB=PVB - PVC

-43 Billion

Discount Rate

5%

n

30

useful life time of the dam (after construction)

Current Value

CV(annual)

Costs

Construction

1.50 Billion

Operation

50 Million

Flooded Ag

45 Million

Flooded Forests

20 Million

Benefits

Hydro Power

150 Million

Irrigation Water

100 Million